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Yankees vs. Guardians: Game 3 Predictions, Top Odds & Betting Insights (Oct 17)

Yankees vs. Guardians: Game 3 Preview of the ALCS

As the American League Championship Series (ALCS) heats up, the New York Yankees stand poised to deliver a hammer blow to the Cleveland Guardians. With a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series, the Yankees can push the Guardians to the brink of elimination in Game 3, scheduled for Thursday at Progressive Field. The stakes are high, and both teams are eager to seize control.

Matchup Overview

The Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) take their formidable talents to Cleveland, where the Guardians (92-69, 50-30 home) will look to claw back into the series. For the Yankees, Cole Schmidt will take the mound, hoping to maintain the momentum built over the first two games. The Guardians counter with Matthew Boyd, who has been surprisingly effective since returning from Tommy John surgery.

Schmidt’s performance will be pivotal in determining the Yankees’ fate for Game 3. He faces a Cleveland lineup that hasn’t played up to expectations in the postseason but features the capability to turn the tide. The game is set to begin at 5:08 pm ET, promising to be an evening packed with thrilling moments.

The Pitching Matchup

Cole Schmidt (Yankees)

While Schmidt’s regular-season performance raised some eyebrows, his playoff numbers against Cleveland haven’t been stellar. The Guardians hitters have an impressive collective batting average of .395 against him. However, Schmidt has yet to give up a home run, a key factor that could play to his advantage if he can keep the ball in the yard.

Matthew Boyd (Guardians)

On the other hand, Boyd’s return to form has been a bright spot for the Guardians. Since his comeback, he boasts an admirable 2.72 ERA over nearly 40 innings during the regular season. Remarkably, he’s yet to allow a run in 6.2 postseason innings, showcasing his newfound control and ability to strike out batters. However, he has struggled against some of the Yankees’ best hitters, including Aaron Judge, who has built a solid OPS of 1.470 against Boyd.

Given these metrics, it’s clear that both teams are sending out key arms. Schmidt aims to stabilize his standing in the series, while Boyd attempts to reclaim momentum for the Guardians.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As the game draws nearer, betting lines have begun to tighten. Currently, the best odds for the Yankees sit at -115, while the Guardians are on offer at +105. Betting trends show considerable public support for the Yankees, with around 82% of moneyline bets riding on their victory. This bias is mirrored in the runline, where 85% of the handle favors New York winning by at least two runs.

Several betting outlets are predicting an underperformance in total runs, with the consensus favoring under 7.5 runs. With New York’s bullpen demonstrating an impressive 0.77 ERA in the playoffs—a figure that captures just one home run given up—they are well-positioned to keep the Guardians in check.

Historical Context and Team Momentum

Looking back at the first two games of the series, the Guardians have faced challenges, being outscored 11-5. Their bullpen, often lauded for its strength, has struggled, allowing four runs across 12 innings of work. Such performance could heighten the stakes for Boyd, who knows the importance of delivering a strong outing to stave off elimination.

For the Yankees, momentum is crucial. Winners of two nail-biting games, the team carries confidence into Game 3. Players like Aaron Judge, who continues to shine, will need to replicate their recent success if they are to push the Guardians to the edge.

Conclusion

Game 3 of the ALCS presents a compelling showdown with high stakes. With the Yankees looking to leverage their early series momentum and the Guardians fighting to keep their championship hopes alive, baseball fans are in for a treat. Will the Yankees’ pitching hold up against a determined Guardians lineup, or will Cleveland find a way to strike back? The answers lie just a few pitches away in what promises to be an electrifying encounter at Progressive Field.

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