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2024 NFL Week 7 Betting Preview: Odds, Picks, and Lines for Patriots vs. Jaguars

A Transatlantic Showdown: Jaguars vs. Patriots in London

As Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season unfolds, fans are gearing up for an exciting Sunday morning matchup at Wembley Stadium. The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) are set to take on the New England Patriots (1-5) in their second consecutive London game—a rare opportunity to catch American football across the pond. Scheduled for a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff, both teams hope to turn their fortunes around after a rough start to their respective seasons.

Recent Struggles

Both the Jaguars and the Patriots have faced significant challenges this season, entering the game with identical records. The Jaguars suffered a disappointing 35-16 loss to the Chicago Bears in their first London outing last week, raising questions about their defense and overall discipline. Meanwhile, the Patriots are enduring a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 41-21 to the Houston Texans. In that game, rookie quarterback Drake Maye made his first career start but struggled to keep pace with the Texans.

The Stakes: A Chance for Redemption

For both teams, this matchup represents a critical juncture where a victory could shift the momentum back in their favor. The betting lines have made the Jaguars slight favorites, opening at -4.5 and moving to -6 as kickoff approaches, with a total set at 41.5 points. This change reflects public sentiment leaning towards the Jaguars given their prior success in London, albeit their current form raises eyebrows.

Game Lines and Odds

  • Spread: Jaguars -6
  • Moneyline: Jaguars (-250), Patriots (+210)
  • Over/Under: 41.5

First-Half Lines

  • First-Half Spread: Jaguars -3.5 (-115), Patriots +3.5 (-105)
  • First-Half Moneyline: Jaguars (-220), Patriots (+170)

As betting analysts weigh in, Tyler Fulghum emphasizes that the odds reflect both teams’ struggles while hinting at potential upset opportunities, especially given how challenging defense has been for Jacksonville.

Spotlight on Players

With both teams struggling collectively, individual performances could determine the outcome. Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who has been underwhelming this season, will need to step up. His passing yardage line is set at 224.5 yards, with over -140 and under +110. He’ll also need to capitalize on his ability to connect for touchdowns, with a line of 1.5.

On the other sideline, Drake Maye’s early performance did hint at promise, with his passing yardage set at 199.5. As the rookie MLA begins to settle in, fans wonder if he can break through against a jagged Jaguars defense that ranks last in Defensive EPA.

Rushing and Receiving Lines

Rhamondre Stevenson, the Patriots’ leading rusher, has his total rushing yardage set at 44.5, making him a crucial player to watch. For the Jaguars, both Trevor Lawrence and Etienne will be vital in the ground game.

In the receiving department, keep an eye on Brian Thomas Jr., with a total receiving yard line of 59.5, suggesting a growing role in Jacksonville’s offense. For New England, DeMario Douglas and Christian Kirk have their totals set at 49.5 and 44.5, respectively, both needing to find space against opposing defenses.

Predictions from the Experts

Fulghum makes a bold pick in favor of the Patriots, advising to take the +6 spread. He notes that Maye’s performance against the Jaguars’ beleaguered defense could yield unexpected results, potentially challenging any preconceived notions about this team.

Betting Trends

Understanding the historical matchup statistics can provide valuable insight for bettors:

  • The Patriots are 0-4 ATS (Against The Spread) in their last four games.
  • The Jaguars have struggled as favorites, going 0-3 ATS this season.
  • Historical performance in London shows the Jaguars are 1-3 outright when favored.

These trends cast a spotlight on the possible outcomes, hinting that while Jacksonville might be favored, New England’s struggles have not deterred them from being a live underdog.

Conclusion

As the Jaguars prepare to face the Patriots under the London skies, both teams face a moment of truth. This matchup is not just about winning; it’s about redemption and the chance to reignite their seasons before heading back to the United States. With intriguing storylines, key player performances, and plenty of betting insights, this game promises to be an exciting chapter in the 2024 NFL season. Will Jacksonville assert their dominance, or can New England pull off the upset? Only time will tell!

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