CFL Betting: Analyzing Week 20 Prop Bets and Best Picks
As the Canadian Football League (CFL) nears the end of its regular season, Week 20 offers an intriguing slate of games. With playoff positions already decided, teams are now evaluating their strategies and lineups as they prepare for the postseason. This week, we focus on two matchups: the Ottawa Redblacks facing the Toronto Argonauts, and the Montreal Alouettes squaring off against the B.C. Lions. Let’s break down the best betting scenarios, prop bets, and valuable insights to consider for Saturday’s games.
Ottawa Redblacks at Toronto Argonauts: A Closer Look
Game Time: Saturday, October 19, 3:00 p.m. ET
The Ottawa Redblacks enter this matchup with a mixed set of statistics. At first glance, their -43 point differential could signify a weak postseason candidate. However, recent roster improvements give hope to their playoff prospects. With quarterback Dru Brown returning after a two-game absence due to an ankle injury, and key players Justin Hardy and Kalil Pimpleton now healthy, Ottawa aims to gain crucial momentum before postseason action.
On the flip side, the Toronto Argonauts boast a solid team with a formidable defensive unit against the rush. Yet, they’ve shown vulnerability against the pass, averaging a staggering 288.2 passing yards allowed per game. In their prior encounter in Week 14, the Redblacks triumphed 41-27, where Brown excelled with 349 passing yards. This suggests that with proper game plans and health on their side, the Redblacks can give the Argos a run for their money again.
Betting Insights for Redblacks vs. Argonauts
-
Ottawa Redblacks +4.5 (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook): Given the current odds and team statistics, this is a compelling pick that capitalizes on Ottawa’s offensive potency.
- Same-game Parlay (SGP): Consider taking the Redblacks Alternate Spread +6.5 alongside Dru Brown for 250+ passing yards (-106 on FanDuel Sportsbook). This allows for some insurance against a close game, while still banking on Brown’s ability to exploit Toronto’s passing vulnerabilities.
Key Player Notes
- Dru Brown: Back in action and ready to lead Ottawa. Midnight Oil’s impressive performance in the previous game against Toronto boosts confidence for his passing yards.
- DaVaris Daniels (Toronto): His health is a question mark, as he is currently listed as questionable. His absence could significantly affect Toronto’s aerial game.
Montreal Alouettes at B.C. Lions: Analyzing Their Battle
Game Time: Saturday, October 19, 7:00 p.m. ET
For the Montreal Alouettes, the postseason is set, but the team’s strategy in this penultimate game may lean towards experimentation. Head coach Jason Maas confirmed that both Cody Fajardo and Davis Alexander will see time at quarterback, an unusual situation that can lead to an unpredictable offensive output. With key players like Austin Mack and Walter Fletcher resting, Montreal will find itself in a rather unique spot offensively.
The Lions, on the other hand, welcome back Vernon Adams Jr. as their starting QB after a rough patch for Nathan Rourke. Adams had an explosive start to the season, throwing for over 331 yards in five of his first six games. However, facing the Alouettes’ formidable defense could prove challenging, especially considering that Montreal has allowed just 255.2 passing yards per game along with a league-low passer efficiency rating.
Betting Insights for Alouettes vs. Lions
-
Under 49.5 points (-115 on FanDuel Sportsbook): With several offensive players for the Alouettes either inactive or playing in a reduced capacity, this total appears bit high.
- Same-game Parlay (SGP): Under 49.5 points combined with William Stanback for 50+ rushing yards (+150 on FanDuel Sportsbook). His previous performance against Montreal where he rushed for 128 yards adds confidence to this bet for exploiting Montreal’s weak rushing defense.
Key Player Notes
- William Stanback: Recognized for his explosive running style, he has the potential to capitalize on Montreal’s weak defensive front, especially under the current circumstances.
- Cody Fajardo: Despite his limited preparation, his experience and ability to play under pressure could be crucial if he receives ample game time.
Conclusion: Best Bets Recap for CFL Week 20
As the CFL regular season inches closer to a conclusion, Week 20 provides significant opportunities for bettors keen on capitalizing on situational insights. Here’s a summary of the best bets to consider:
- Ottawa Redblacks +4.5 (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- SGP: Alt. Spread +6.5 and Dru Brown 250+ passing yards (-106 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Under 49.5 points (-115 on FanDuel Sportsbook) in Alouettes vs. Lions
- SGP: Under 49.5 with William Stanback 50+ rushing yards (+150 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
With playoff intensities approaching, these matches carry additional stakes that could influence a team’s trajectory heading into the postseason. Keep an eye on player statuses and make informed betting decisions as you navigate through CFL Week 20!
